A win-and-your-in scenario will play out when the New York Mets battle the Atlanta Braves in the first game of a doubleheader on Monday afternoon in Atlanta. The winner of Game 1 advances to the postseason, while the loser must win Game 2 or the Arizona Diamondbacks would advance to the playoffs. Atlanta has won six of 11 matchups this season.

First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. Atlanta is the -158 money-line favorite (risk $158 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Braves odds, while the Mets are +132 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before you make any Mets vs. Braves picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. Entering the final full week the MLB regular season, it's on a 31-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+722) that dates back to last season. Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows Atlanta is expected to send right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (8-7, 3.47 ERA) to the mound. In 20 starts this season, Schwellenbach has allowed 102 hits, 45 earned runs and 23 walks, while striking out 122. He's 2-0 against the Mets this season, including a 5-1 win on Tuesday. In that game, he pitched seven innings, allowing three hits, one earned run and one walk, while striking out four. In the 4-0 win over New York on July 27, he also went seven innings, allowing two hits, while striking out 11.

The model also knows New York has been powered by solid hitting the second half of the season. Among their top hitters, is shortstop Francisco Lindor, who returned from injury this past weekend. In Sunday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers, he was 2-for-4 with one homer, two RBI and two runs scored. He was also 2-for-4 with a walk in Friday's 8-4 loss to the Brewers. In 151 games, Lindor is batting .271 with 39 doubles, one triple, 32 homers and 88 RBI.

The model has simulated Mets vs. Braves 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Mets vs. Braves, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 31-17 roll on top-rated MLB run-line picks!